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Traders

miltern

0x15499a39ee55c0489a5d4532c1fbcf7b749be0f3

Realised P&L
$15.08
Volume
$6.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$239.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo · Yes0.0410.025$77.41−$51.58
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0410.057$43.15+$12.15
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.0890.075$27.83−$5.17
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? · Yes0.0700.155$24.36+$13.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.095$23.75−$6.25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.1010.065$16.74−$9.25
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0640.036$10.83−$8.17
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.050$7.62−$2.38
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.044$4.40−$1.60
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.033$2.03−$1.97
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.055$1.65−$0.45
Will the EU lift its ban on Russian diesel imports by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-24 08:28Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.0429446727$6.00
10-24 08:19Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?SELL0.0188314728$5.75
10-23 18:00Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.0429999999$20.00
10-23 17:57Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0618461534$6.00
10-23 17:52Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0649606299$10.00
10-23 17:46Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?SELL0.78$35.88
10-22 17:27Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?BUY0.1$16.00
10-22 17:23Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.87$16.10
10-21 16:40Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0335800438$7.00
10-21 16:16Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0504781495$6.50
10-21 14:57Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.0439999999$10.00
10-21 13:48Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1264241996$10.74
10-20 11:34Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.0349999995$1.00
10-20 11:23Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?SELL0.27$1.08
10-19 19:09Russia x Ukraine Peace ComboBUY0.04$8.00
Trader miltern · PolyBot Pro