miltern
0x15499a39ee55c0489a5d4532c1fbcf7b749be0f3
- Realised P&L
- $15.08
- Volume
- $6.9k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $239.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.96at 0.200Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?
- +$6.11at 0.540Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?
- +$-4.25at 0.176Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
- +$-6.50at 0.101Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
- +$-7.25at 0.043Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 08:28 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.0429446727 | $6.00 |
| 10-24 08:19 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0188314728 | $5.75 |
| 10-23 18:00 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.0429999999 | $20.00 |
| 10-23 17:57 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0618461534 | $6.00 |
| 10-23 17:52 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0649606299 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 17:46 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.78 | $35.88 |
| 10-22 17:27 | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $16.00 |
| 10-22 17:23 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $16.10 |
| 10-21 16:40 | Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0335800438 | $7.00 |
| 10-21 16:16 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0504781495 | $6.50 |
| 10-21 14:57 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.0439999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 13:48 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1264241996 | $10.74 |
| 10-20 11:34 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.0349999995 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 11:23 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $1.08 |
| 10-19 19:09 | Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | BUY | 0.04 | $8.00 |