cryptidcawp
0x153f31ef8053e068199affa5a15770e8cc4507c4
- Realised P&L
- $-266.27
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 246
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded246
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Henrique Rocha · August Holmgren | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: DR Congo (-1.5) · DR Congo | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.15at 0.337Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$26.23at 0.386Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
- +$24.15at 0.612Guadalajara Open Akron: Sloane Stephens vs Janice Tjen
- +$18.32at 0.422Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Switzerland?
- +$18.32at 0.218Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 3.5 Corners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 22:49 | Will Cuba vs. St. Kitts and Nevis end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8799999996 | $88.56 |
| 10-05 20:28 | Will France win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.9 | $80.20 |
| 10-05 12:59 | Spread: DR Congo (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2799999925 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 02:21 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8299999793 | $31.75 |
| 10-03 02:19 | Will CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7699999976 | $35.00 |
| 10-02 13:22 | Porto 2: August Holmgren vs Henrique Rocha | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:08 | North Texas vs. Tulsa | SELL | 0.99 | $68.52 |
| 10-02 03:34 | North Texas vs. Tulsa | BUY | 0.9299999991 | $64.37 |
| 10-02 00:34 | Sabres vs. Blue Jackets | BUY | 0.8499999938 | $54.79 |
| 09-29 19:33 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.59 | $4.91 |
| 09-29 19:14 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 09:06 | China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva | SELL | 0.46 | $0.18 |
| 09-28 08:56 | China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva | SELL | 0.48 | $4.70 |
| 09-28 08:55 | China Open, Qualification: Alex Molcan vs Vit Kopriva | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 15:35 | Genoa 2: Mika Petkovic vs Francesco Forti | BUY | 0.98 | $54.77 |