radek44
0x153b22e659b68393b0136df4ad94a27e523a65d8
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $290.2k
- Markets traded
- 420
- Open portfolio
- $11.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded420
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$283.77at 0.261Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
- +$281.63at 0.155Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
- +$260.55at 0.966Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
- +$220.12at 0.552Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?
- +$215.44at 0.323Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-17 20:24 | Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $50.00 |
| 10-17 09:29 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15? | SELL | 0.99 | $74.67 |
| 10-16 21:38 | Houthis enter Aden by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999996 | $193.19 |
| 10-16 19:11 | Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $220.00 |
| 10-16 19:10 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $234.78 |
| 10-16 19:09 | Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? | SELL | 0.8848663893 | $125.50 |
| 10-16 18:53 | Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? | BUY | 0.6899999966 | $111.00 |
| 10-16 18:53 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699999992 | $101.00 |
| 10-16 18:52 | Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.7451414046 | $268.22 |
| 10-16 18:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999997 | $111.12 |
| 10-16 18:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999972 | $56.00 |
| 10-16 18:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $101.00 |
| 10-16 18:31 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31? | BUY | 0.5799999992 | $30.00 |
| 10-13 21:34 | Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15? | BUY | 0.6893939392 | $52.00 |
| 10-13 21:32 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399999976 | $104.00 |