PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x1538B16CCB0b8EA9636CabDbBa275E75C5D20090-1768826825034

0x1538b16ccb0b8ea9636cabdbba275e75c5d20090

Realised P&L
$-57.08
Volume
$3.4k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$111.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4030.543$16.29+$4.21
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat? · Yes0.7600.949$9.48+$1.89
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-27 House seat? · Yes0.8100.945$9.45+$1.35
Fannie Mae IPO before 2027? · No0.8300.935$9.35+$1.05
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-22 House seat? · Yes0.8200.935$9.35+$1.15
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat? · Yes0.5800.885$8.85+$3.05
Will the Republican Party win the TX-32 House seat? · Yes0.7200.875$8.75+$1.55
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026? · No0.6900.805$8.05+$1.15
Will the Democratic Party win the IA-03 House seat? · Yes0.5750.765$7.65+$1.90
Will the Republican Party win the CO-03 House seat? · Yes0.6100.640$6.40+$0.30
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes0.6400.255$2.55$3.85
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? · No0.3300.825$2.48+$1.49
Will Donald Trump visit Hawaii in 2026? · No0.6300.905$1.81+$0.55
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? · Yes0.6350.165$1.65$4.70
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1800.165$1.65$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-26 09:33Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.058$75.40
04-20 14:30Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?SELL0.25$2.50
03-30 09:46Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?SELL0.4$3.60
03-29 16:33Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?SELL0.974$3.90
03-26 16:20Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.09$1.80
03-26 15:59Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?BUY0.13$2.60
03-26 11:33Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.426$8.52
03-23 20:42Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.54$5.40
03-23 10:57Will Drake be the top artist for 2026?SELL0.86$8.60
03-23 09:35Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?BUY0.64$6.40
03-23 06:22Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota?SELL0.964$9.64
03-23 03:11Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?BUY0.14$1.40
03-23 00:49Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?SELL0.7$2.80
03-23 00:48Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?SELL0.7$1.40
03-23 00:47Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?SELL0.7$2.10