0x1538B16CCB0b8EA9636CabDbBa275E75C5D20090-1768826825034
0x1538b16ccb0b8ea9636cabdbba275e75c5d20090
- Realised P&L
- $-57.08
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $111.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.70at 0.280Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?
- +$4.60at 0.310US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$3.27at 0.340Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$3.15at 0.685Will Taylor Swift release a new song in 2026?
- +$2.65at 0.375Trump cabinet member out by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-26 09:33 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.058 | $75.40 |
| 04-20 14:30 | Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 03-30 09:46 | Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple? | SELL | 0.4 | $3.60 |
| 03-29 16:33 | Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026? | SELL | 0.974 | $3.90 |
| 03-26 16:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 03-26 15:59 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 03-26 11:33 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.426 | $8.52 |
| 03-23 20:42 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 03-23 10:57 | Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $8.60 |
| 03-23 09:35 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 03-23 06:22 | Will Royce White be the Republican nominee for Senate in Minnesota? | SELL | 0.964 | $9.64 |
| 03-23 03:11 | Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 03-23 00:49 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.80 |
| 03-23 00:48 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $1.40 |
| 03-23 00:47 | Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | SELL | 0.7 | $2.10 |