PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Armenia

0x1537ed4d534ec88634af690b9b03145dbcaec480

Realised P&L
$23.3k
Volume
$1.74M
Markets traded
366
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded366
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.248$3.1k+$2.7k
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.011$775.22$703.90
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.006$409.86$1.1k
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.004$239.09$1.3k
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.003$168.53$1.3k
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0270.003$142.34$1.4k
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.002$123.92$1.7k
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.002$93.17$1.3k
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0210.042$70.82+$34.10
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0150.017$54.64+$4.50
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.001$41.31$1.8k
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.001$34.16$1.5k
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0220.001$31.11$1.3k
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0200.001$15.13$595.35
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0040.015$14.50+$10.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-10 20:39Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0409174899$28.91
05-02 12:00Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.997$3.6k
04-23 16:52Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$2.30
04-23 16:51Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.002$4.60
04-23 16:51Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.002$6.00
04-23 16:51Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.003$6.90
04-23 16:50Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.003$10.00
04-23 16:50Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.004$9.20
04-23 16:50Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.005$11.50
04-23 16:49Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.013$29.90
04-23 16:49Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.021$23.38
04-23 16:48Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.032$36.80
04-23 16:48Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0552173582$127.02
04-23 16:48Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.0694015$159.62
04-22 08:00Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.035$70.00