njbggf
0x15299adc425bc75af44cce86a3f238edd18c11bd
- Realised P&L
- $-38.33
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $72.78
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.555 | $72.78 | −$34.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.50at 0.971Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March?
- +$0.54at 0.993Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8?
- +$0.11at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10?
- +$0.11at 0.997Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8?
- +$0.11at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-10 07:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.998 | $107.43 |
| 03-09 22:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10? | SELL | 0.992 | $25.84 |
| 03-09 03:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 10? | BUY | 0.992 | $107.35 |
| 03-08 01:02 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.997 | $107.25 |
| 03-06 04:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.993 | $106.73 |
| 03-06 00:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $106.62 |
| 03-05 13:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $106.52 |
| 03-05 11:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5? | BUY | 0.998 | $106.42 |
| 03-05 02:27 | Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $106.42 |
| 03-04 03:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in March? | BUY | 0.9710744619 | $104.92 |
| 03-01 13:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1? | BUY | 0.9979999912 | $104.81 |
| 02-26 01:58 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.71 |
| 02-25 09:42 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 25? | BUY | 0.998 | $104.60 |