0x1525d65b6476ffaff8a73bc6e0b4ba2381c8b953
0x1525d65b6476ffaff8a73bc6e0b4ba2381c8b953
- Realised P&L
- $202.93
- Volume
- $5.5k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $45.84
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.229 | 0.587 | $25.63 | +$15.63 |
| Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.340 | 1.000 | $14.71 | +$9.71 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.028 | $5.50 | −$4.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.86at 0.140Will Trump visit China by April 30?
- +$45.66at 0.254Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík?
- +$41.99at 0.328Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
- +$39.71at 0.206Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$37.63at 0.217Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:10 | Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 05:18 | Will TSV Hartberg win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 05:18 | Will SK Rapid vs. TSV Hartberg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1511144692 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 09:36 | Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:25 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6699999836 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 16:25 | Exact Score: Austria 2 - 0 Israel? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 16:24 | Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $56.84 |
| 09-02 04:58 | Exact Score: FC Salzburg 2 - 1 SK Rapid? | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 09-02 04:57 | Will FC Salzburg vs. SK Rapid end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-30 12:38 | Will SK Rapid win on 2026-08-30? | BUY | 0.4699999915 | $10.00 |
| 08-26 12:38 | Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-08-26? | BUY | 0.1650485307 | $10.00 |
| 08-20 18:58 | Will SK Rapid Wien win on 2026-08-20? | BUY | 0.3799999863 | $15.00 |
| 08-17 16:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2289999838 | $10.00 |
| 08-12 17:49 | Will the Total Solar Eclipse be highly visible in Reykjavík? | BUY | 0.2451510468 | $15.00 |
| 08-06 16:09 | Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $15.00 |