PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1516283f3c7953F87314376bb8a6274E59c2715d-1781532485684

0x1516283f3c7953f87314376bb8a6274e59c2715d

Realised P&L
$-338.91
Volume
$82.4k
Markets traded
104
Open portfolio
$64.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded104
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No0.9000.765$4.25−$0.75
Will AVAX reach $16 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.690$3.92−$1.08
Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9770.918$3.76−$0.24
Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7740.993$3.01+$0.66
Will BNB reach $1600 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9470.950$3.01+$0.01
Will XRP reach $6.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9800.980$3.00+$0.00
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9900.984$2.98−$0.02
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9720.961$2.97−$0.03
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9900.993$2.00+$0.01
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9920.994$2.00+$0.00
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9900.991$2.00+$0.00
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9910.992$2.00+$0.00
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9920.991$2.00−$0.00
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9860.983$1.99−$0.01
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9920.986$1.99−$0.01

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 04:33Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?SELL0.88$5.30
09-28 04:33Will BNB reach $1800 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.9482529118$5.70
09-25 13:11Seahawks vs. CommandersBUY0.769999996$37.00
09-25 13:11Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?SELL0.43$37.99
09-21 10:03Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16?BUY0.4299999962$37.99
09-20 03:22Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.4699999923$18.42
09-13 19:24Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?BUY0.3042073475$761.42
09-13 19:23Bills vs. TexansSELL0.36$814.29
09-13 05:20Bills vs. TexansBUY0.48$1.1k
09-12 10:54AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.37$4.9k
09-10 09:22Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group ABUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-10 09:22Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group ABUY0.8099999352$1.00
09-10 09:15Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?BUY0.8299999153$5.00
09-09 19:45Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.49$2.3k
09-09 19:43Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?BUY0.5069535482$716.80