bitcoinUP
0x150fe3cb3f8649f890387308038be3b93f7ded48
- Realised P&L
- $59.02
- Volume
- $40.8k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $150.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon tweet 560-599 times in September 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $128.36 | +$0.26 |
| Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.111 | $22.20 | +$6.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.00at 0.001XRP Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
- +$8.90at 0.930US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.26at 0.002Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$0.85at 0.990Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
- +$0.74at 0.994Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 05:37 | Will Elon tweet 560-599 times in September 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $128.10 |
| 08-01 05:07 | Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $127.80 |
| 06-26 04:31 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $127.10 |
| 05-18 09:12 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.929999993 | $118.20 |
| 04-04 04:27 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $118.01 |
| 03-13 07:16 | Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $117.89 |
| 02-24 07:55 | Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $37.81 |
| 02-11 14:50 | Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? | BUY | 0.999 | $37.78 |
| 02-11 14:44 | Solana Up or Down - February 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.998 | $37.70 |
| 02-03 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.9989999922 | $37.67 |
| 01-21 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $3.97 |
| 01-21 12:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 01-21 12:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $0.84 |
| 12-21 11:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.00 |
| 12-21 10:51 | Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.055 | $2.29 |