PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bitcoinUP

0x150fe3cb3f8649f890387308038be3b93f7ded48

Realised P&L
$59.02
Volume
$40.8k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$150.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon tweet 560-599 times in September 2026? · No0.9981.000$128.36+$0.26
Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $5M before 2027? · Yes0.0800.111$22.20+$6.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 05:37Will Elon tweet 560-599 times in September 2026?BUY0.998$128.10
08-01 05:07Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.998$127.80
06-26 04:31Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.994$127.10
05-18 09:12US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.929999993$118.20
04-04 04:27Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?BUY0.998$118.01
03-13 07:16Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?BUY0.999$117.89
02-24 07:55Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?BUY0.998$37.81
02-11 14:50Will France win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY0.999$37.78
02-11 14:44Solana Up or Down - February 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETBUY0.998$37.70
02-03 15:18Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?BUY0.9989999922$37.67
01-21 12:58Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.001$3.97
01-21 12:39Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETBUY0.001$6.00
01-21 12:38Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETBUY0.001$0.84
12-21 11:01Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?BUY0.996$30.00
12-21 10:51Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.055$2.29