vukgl
0x15090ada634ad4b9855d92d8c43e1542c52bdc06
- Realised P&L
- $4.96
- Volume
- $803.15
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $7.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.310 | $5.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.008 | $0.93 | −$0.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.022 | $0.71 | −$1.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on October 2? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 2? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.001 | $0.12 | −$0.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.96at 0.592Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:27 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.62 |
| 10-01 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.0040650131 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:26 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C or higher on October 2? | BUY | 0.0027204715 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 00:25 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 00:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.069246196 | $2.19 |
| 10-01 00:14 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.999 | $12.17 |
| 09-30 22:42 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5799999737 | $7.07 |