bibostos
0x14fee448b849b8687d7f218d4d613c122195910c
- Realised P&L
- $118.98
- Volume
- $13.4k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $143.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.935 | $48.85 | −$0.78 |
| Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.944 | 0.930 | $48.38 | −$0.70 |
| Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.982 | 0.933 | $46.67 | −$2.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.500Ethereum Up or Down on May 17?
- +$684.01at 0.270Dodgers vs. Rockies
- +$590.07at 0.490Red Sox vs. Astros
- +$287.00at 0.500Bitcoin above $115,000 on August 8?
- +$68.04at 0.580Braves vs. Reds
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-05 10:43 | Will En Avant Guingamp win on 2025-12-05? | BUY | 0.49 | $479.22 |
| 08-26 06:28 | Braves vs. Marlins | BUY | 0.47 | $491.15 |
| 08-22 07:26 | Nationals vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.61 | $597.19 |
| 08-18 11:59 | Dodgers vs. Rockies | BUY | 0.27 | $252.99 |
| 08-15 08:08 | Pirates vs. Cubs | BUY | 0.64 | $593.92 |
| 08-07 09:01 | Bitcoin above $115,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.5 | $287.00 |