PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

aasdf

0x14fe3c89cabe70fba394f1d77704285449682a19

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$235.4k
Markets traded
8
Open portfolio
$189.24

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded8
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration75.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1720.034$189.24$782.94
Iran leadership change by March 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$210.00
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 8 be between 60 and 70? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00$24.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-16 21:32Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.0636950911$1.1k
01-15 22:10Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.1$1.7k
01-15 19:40Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?SELL0.09$3.0k
01-12 23:23Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.2$10.9k
01-11 01:43Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.23$920.00
01-09 00:47Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.21$1.05
12-22 22:19Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?BUY0.4$200.00
12-08 00:28Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?BUY0.8077066403$77.73
12-07 20:25Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?BUY0.6977190083$168.85
12-07 19:05Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?BUY0.7875757873$601.95
12-07 18:58Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?BUY0.7620783156$276.16