PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Carlghnmgh

0x14f907897a0608456b6c4f572f7d6201aa8d77f3

Realised P&L
$0.96
Volume
$17.8k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$20.71

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23? · Yes0.5500.545$20.71$0.19
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? · No0.3700.000$0.00$8.88
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$11.89
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12? · No0.4400.000$0.00$26.84
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03? · No0.3200.000$0.00$23.68
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Lois Boisson · Lois Boisson0.3900.000$0.00$22.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 02:33Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-09-23?BUY0.55$20.90
09-11 09:07Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.998$65.93
09-11 09:07Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-12?BUY0.44$26.84
09-11 09:05Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.999$66.00
09-05 03:44Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.998$56.94
09-05 03:44Counter-Strike: HOTU vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.43$25.80
09-05 03:42Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.999$32.00
09-05 03:42Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.999$25.00
08-12 12:21Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.992$41.96
08-12 12:21Will Páfos FC win on 2026-08-13?BUY0.69$39.33
08-12 12:19Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.9929999999$17.00
08-12 12:18Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.9929999998$25.00
07-29 02:26Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?BUY0.37$8.88
07-23 05:49Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?SELL0.997$42.95
07-23 05:48Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 23?BUY0.72$31.68