0x14f5b9e50f8189d17e7d1410f2c7f3550c76b560
- Realised P&L
- $-6.67
- Volume
- $46.36
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $1.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.760 | 0.950 | $1.25 | +$0.25 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · No | 0.640 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.42at 0.420Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?
- +$1.30at 0.440WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 2?
- +$0.55at 0.649Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$0.44at 0.699Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $272 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$0.36at 0.738Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:53 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 21:49 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 17:33 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.3843500353 | $1.00 |
| 09-10 19:58 | Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 09:37 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $189 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 23:06 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-07 14:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 07:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-02 18:50 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 2? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 09-01 07:34 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 19:19 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $186 in August? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-29 09:27 | Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.585 | $1.00 |
| 08-26 13:07 | Will Ulta say "Diamond" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.429999828 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 20:13 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 12:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,750 Week of August 24 2026? | BUY | 0.3499998775 | $1.00 |