0x14f2e57d88031b7a46798eb77b708a43f8a720eb
0x14f2e57d88031b7a46798eb77b708a43f8a720eb
- Realised P&L
- $-5.06
- Volume
- $261.75
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $6.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.660 | 0.835 | $1.27 | +$0.27 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.585 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.270 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.575 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.420 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.280 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.065 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.66at 0.359Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?
- +$3.50at 0.369Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $71 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$3.23at 0.388WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $92 on September 21?
- +$2.67at 0.278Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.21at 0.410Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 14:18 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:31 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.2799999664 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:51 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:26 | Will Citigroup (C) Q3 provision for credit losses be above $2.6B? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 06:41 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 21:22 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:46 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 03:55 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 17:18 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 06:20 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 22:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1? | BUY | 0.6459998398 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 14:00 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $390 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 05:46 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 6? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:46 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |