0x14F293B170aD025cCE391Be00B728F3Dc97DE5F8-1764489162166
0x14f293b170ad025cce391be00b728f3dc97de5f8
- Realised P&L
- $-29.91
- Volume
- $19.9k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $68.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.17at 0.011Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
- +$34.63at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
- +$14.86at 0.399Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
- +$11.69at 0.628Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 20?
- +$9.66at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 13:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 13:33 | Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | SELL | 0.14 | $12.73 |
| 09-24 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.339999985 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 12:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $4.50 |
| 09-24 12:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 03:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 09-24 03:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 02:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $6.68 |
| 09-24 02:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 02:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999999 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 02:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 02:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 02:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $10.20 |
| 09-24 02:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999981 | $10.00 |