JulesN
0x14f1668da46fdbf7d0049743f84fa45e064b5d5f
- Realised P&L
- $-208.02
- Volume
- $4.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $33.94
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration69.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.354 | 0.135 | $23.68 | −$38.41 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.065 | $10.26 | −$19.74 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| US strike on Mexico by March 31? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.00 |
| Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-09 15:21 | Will Cameroon win on 2026-01-09? | BUY | 0.12 | $24.00 |
| 01-09 15:13 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1899999944 | $25.00 |
| 01-09 14:41 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0167794592 | $20.00 |
| 01-09 14:41 | Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999959 | $30.00 |
| 01-09 14:34 | Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3539594841 | $62.09 |
| 01-09 14:34 | Cilia Flores released from custody by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0179999997 | $50.00 |
| 01-09 14:32 | US strike on Mexico by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $30.00 |