PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

cvvffomj4

0x14e2980ba9d8c5620135a85419c90a4fbd8c4f0d

Realised P&L
$-124.44
Volume
$58.7k
Markets traded
109
Open portfolio
$36.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded109
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration85.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 12-18? · No0.9980.999$30.82+$0.02
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9510.930$2.94−$0.06
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9550.859$2.52−$0.28
Spurs vs. Thunder · Thunder0.7600.000$0.00−$1.00
Penguins vs. Predators · Penguins0.5500.000$0.00−$138.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 10:48Will Bitcoin reach $96,000 October 12-18?BUY0.998$30.80
10-14 00:56Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 13?BUY0.9899999772$30.00
10-10 23:57Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 10?BUY0.998$30.00
10-04 05:29Will Ethereum reach $2,900 September 28-October 4?BUY0.992$30.00
08-18 08:12Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 18?BUY0.9939999838$30.00
08-05 07:01Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?BUY0.9099999781$29.50
07-30 08:50Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 27-August 2?BUY0.9619999998$28.50
07-29 04:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 29?BUY0.9929999998$27.00
07-29 04:33Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.996$15.98
07-28 01:22Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on July 28?BUY0.9949999557$11.80
07-28 01:22Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$10.01
07-26 10:50Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.998$1.00
07-21 02:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.999$1.00
07-21 02:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$10.00
07-21 02:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.997$16.00