mathiinfo
0x14e296e208258247e8631c4749ce273d5342282f
- Realised P&L
- $-5.2k
- Volume
- $1.81M
- Markets traded
- 3,375
- Open portfolio
- $448.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,375
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 26? · Yes | 0.101 | 0.090 | $443.32 | −$51.67 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,950 on September 21? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.013 | $5.20 | −$4.80 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 10PM ET · Down | 0.139 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 20? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$68.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET · Down | 0.451 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 21? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.2kat 0.033Will Bitcoin reach $69,000 on April 5?
- +$3.8kat 0.103Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$3.4kat 0.259Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 on April 5?
- +$3.2kat 0.251Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$2.4kat 0.237Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on March 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 13:20 | Will Ethereum reach $2,950 on September 21? | BUY | 0.025 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:45 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.09 | $45.00 |
| 09-21 09:20 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |
| 09-21 08:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 26? | BUY | 0.106 | $400.00 |
| 09-21 08:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 21? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.7k |
| 09-21 07:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 07:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 07:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 06:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | SELL | 0.9265925786 | $147.58 |
| 09-21 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6476868299 | $70.00 |
| 09-21 06:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6329238906 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 06:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 06:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $70.00 |
| 09-21 06:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on September 21? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $100.00 |