sophieshouse
0x14dd92266332b587e3317ac8a6d4d0295fd57a4a
- Realised P&L
- $82.69
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $41.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$474.99at 0.050Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?
- +$94.44at 0.056Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?
- +$-0.12at 0.053Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
- +$-3.00at 0.003US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 22:22 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 22:20 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.40 |
| 09-23 22:20 | Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.06 |
| 09-23 17:59 | Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.046 | $0.41 |
| 06-03 15:56 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.058 | $7.12 |
| 05-14 20:13 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.0190182677 | $8.59 |
| 05-14 19:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.0553224592 | $9.26 |
| 05-11 21:02 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.051 | $8.54 |
| 05-11 20:49 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $15.00 |
| 05-01 15:43 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.00 |
| 05-01 15:40 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $10.00 |
| 04-30 18:40 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.1042061392 | $3.94 |