PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sophieshouse

0x14dd92266332b587e3317ac8a6d4d0295fd57a4a

Realised P&L
$82.69
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$41.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit? · Yes0.1740.185$17.03+$0.97
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · Yes0.0600.045$13.50$4.50
Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1000.180$5.40+$2.40
Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit? · Yes0.1300.085$5.27$2.79
Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes0.0460.001$0.05$4.55
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$5.56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00$7.12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$25.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? · Yes0.1210.000$0.00$69.12
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00$8.59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$25.00
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$44.00
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$5.56
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00$50.00
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? · Yes0.0560.000$0.00$5.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 22:22Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.2$1.00
09-23 22:20Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during their summit?BUY0.2$4.40
09-23 22:20Will the Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during their summit?BUY0.13$8.06
09-23 17:59Will Trump say "Taiwan" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?BUY0.046$0.41
06-03 15:56Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?BUY0.058$7.12
05-14 20:13Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?BUY0.0190182677$8.59
05-14 19:58Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?SELL0.0553224592$9.26
05-11 21:02Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?BUY0.051$8.54
05-11 20:49Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?BUY0.05$15.00
05-01 15:43Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.008$4.00
05-01 15:40Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?BUY0.05$10.00
04-30 18:40Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?BUY0.1042061392$3.94