nicheniche
0x14d4b309f96fa8f5fb1e9529dff22beca1138f78
- Realised P&L
- $-162.08
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 85
- Open portfolio
- $106.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded85
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$47.68at 0.466Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
- +$27.18at 0.437Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$20.80at 0.356Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
- +$18.01at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
- +$17.03at 0.694Ethereum Up or Down - October 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 20:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.4644268752 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 20:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 20:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | SELL | 0.46 | $47.91 |
| 10-14 20:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15? | BUY | 0.4799999985 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 20:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $10.00 |
| 10-14 20:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17? | BUY | 0.4899999984 | $30.00 |
| 10-14 16:32 | Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.1442307678 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 01:59 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.98 |
| 10-14 01:46 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 01:46 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September? | BUY | 0.139999993 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 01:40 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September? | BUY | 0.2931596043 | $12.00 |
| 10-14 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | SELL | 0.36 | $3.00 |
| 10-14 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $3.00 |