PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

nicheniche

0x14d4b309f96fa8f5fb1e9529dff22beca1138f78

Realised P&L
$-162.08
Volume
$15.3k
Markets traded
85
Open portfolio
$106.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded85
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 20:54Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 15?BUY0.4644268752$50.00
10-14 20:42Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?BUY0.1$2.00
10-14 20:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?SELL0.46$47.91
10-14 20:35Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 15?BUY0.4799999985$50.00
10-14 20:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 17?BUY0.1799999986$10.00
10-14 20:33Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 17?BUY0.4899999984$30.00
10-14 16:32Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.1442307678$5.00
10-14 01:59Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.36$1.98
10-14 01:46Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?BUY0.5099999776$5.00
10-14 01:46Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in September?BUY0.139999993$2.00
10-14 01:40Will monthly inflation increase by 0.5% in September?BUY0.2931596043$12.00
10-14 01:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.3499999825$5.00
10-14 01:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSELL0.36$3.00
10-14 01:20Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETBUY0.2399999808$2.00
10-14 01:18Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSELL0.12$3.00