0x14d1191d546bf514b3c8fc94f83d56579ebb74df
- Realised P&L
- $7.07
- Volume
- $758.00
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $93.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.63at 0.500Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?
- +$0.60at 0.400U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- +$0.43at 0.130US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?
- +$0.32at 0.080Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
- +$0.00at 0.800Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 18:36 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 07-13 12:31 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.807 | $4.04 |
| 07-11 00:01 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.319 | $3.51 |
| 07-05 03:56 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.693 | $3.46 |
| 06-28 19:33 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 06-28 18:32 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.932 | $7.46 |
| 06-28 06:56 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 06-22 21:02 | Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 06-20 20:50 | Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 06-16 16:40 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $6.72 |
| 06-13 00:46 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 06-09 19:48 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.946 | $4.73 |
| 06-08 01:03 | Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | BUY | 0.126 | $1.26 |
| 06-05 15:38 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.525 | $6.83 |
| 06-03 13:46 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.287 | $1.43 |