PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x14d1191d546bf514b3c8fc94f83d56579ebb74df

Realised P&L
$7.07
Volume
$758.00
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$93.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration91.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? · No0.3220.749$21.71+$12.36
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? · No0.9540.979$11.74+$0.29
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8400.895$8.95+$0.55
Modi out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9320.945$7.56+$0.10
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · No0.8600.958$6.70+$0.68
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027? · No0.9620.977$5.86+$0.09
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.7300.911$4.56+$0.91
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · No0.6930.909$4.54+$1.08
Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7800.905$4.53+$0.63
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9000.905$4.53+$0.03
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8070.865$4.32+$0.29
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0700.053$1.71$0.53
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027? · Yes0.1170.085$1.53$0.57
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? · Yes0.3090.091$1.46$3.49
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1260.129$1.28+$0.03

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-15 18:36Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.73$3.65
07-13 12:31Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.807$4.04
07-11 00:01Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.319$3.51
07-05 03:56Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.693$3.46
06-28 19:33U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Pakistan" before 2027?BUY0.09$1.08
06-28 18:32Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.932$7.46
06-28 06:56Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$4.20
06-22 21:02Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.9$4.50
06-20 20:50Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$4.20
06-16 16:40Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.96$6.72
06-13 00:46Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.78$3.90
06-09 19:48Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?BUY0.946$4.73
06-08 01:03Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?BUY0.126$1.26
06-05 15:38Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.525$6.83
06-03 13:46Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?BUY0.287$1.43