0x14c7AB0Cd322b66c9e433793BaFAeC77eb60485a-1775603431934
0x14c7ab0cd322b66c9e433793bafaec77eb60485a
- Realised P&L
- $-84.56
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 322
- Open portfolio
- $6.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded322
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.98at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 19?
- +$48.82at 0.208Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 25?
- +$35.72at 0.740Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET
- +$25.43at 0.216Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on April 23?
- +$19.36at 0.025Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-07 18:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 10-07 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 8? | BUY | 0.06 | $3.00 |
| 10-05 14:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.90 |
| 10-04 13:57 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 13°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.068 | $0.67 |
| 06-27 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 06-27 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on June 27? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 06-27 13:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.90 |
| 06-26 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on June 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 06-22 18:23 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.97 |
| 06-21 20:41 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 22? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 06-18 17:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on June 18? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-17 19:38 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.29 |
| 06-17 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.01 |
| 06-17 16:16 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.38 |
| 06-17 15:18 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 17? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.08 |