0x14c2a5c4f7ea5ef80a65a804b1a08c007cc136ab
0x14c2a5c4f7ea5ef80a65a804b1a08c007cc136ab
- Realised P&L
- $-3.81
- Volume
- $90.98
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $1.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.490 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.229Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?
- +$1.67at 0.382Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?
- +$0.86at 0.542Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September?
- +$0.59at 0.632Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
- +$0.56at 0.640Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 18:28 | Will Vinted: Pre-loved marketplace be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 21:41 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in September? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:39 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in September? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 17:37 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:24 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.2169999967 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 05:52 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 21:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 19:58 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 06:59 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 22:40 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 13:57 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 05:55 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $517.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:12 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in September? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 21:57 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |