J-W
0x14c218c1187b01dccf8de2fff59e39e0ecbd73b2
- Realised P&L
- $2.3k
- Volume
- $88.1k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.946 | 0.963 | $5.6k | +$97.39 |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes | 0.856 | 0.895 | $5.0k | +$219.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$637.98at 0.940Xi Jinping out in 2025?
- +$595.76at 0.725Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$489.98at 0.837US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
- +$364.34at 0.859US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$268.18at 0.276Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 04:00 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.88 | $177.06 |
| 07-19 22:16 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.87 | $875.69 |
| 07-18 20:56 | France vs. England: Team to Win | SELL | 0.3 | $176.47 |
| 07-18 11:47 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 07-18 06:17 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.86 | $173.20 |
| 07-18 02:53 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3399999989 | $200.00 |
| 07-17 07:34 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.86 | $433.03 |
| 07-16 14:29 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.86 | $866.05 |
| 07-16 05:09 | Will France vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $500.00 |
| 07-16 05:04 | Spread: France (-1.5) | SELL | 0.71 | $142.61 |
| 07-15 07:37 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.7k |
| 07-15 03:55 | Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3349999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-14 09:15 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2999999974 | $70.00 |
| 07-14 09:14 | Will France vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3 | $31.09 |
| 07-12 03:06 | Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.986 | $493.35 |