0x14bc2efc444aa6420e6299e446c169a43114de4c
0x14bc2efc444aa6420e6299e446c169a43114de4c
- Realised P&L
- $-6.34
- Volume
- $98.72
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $2.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6? · No | 0.510 | 0.490 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.390 | $0.56 | −$0.44 |
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.185 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? · No | 0.310 | 0.033 | $0.11 | −$0.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.79at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$2.82at 0.268Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$1.94at 0.440Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
- +$1.82at 0.450US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$1.46at 0.510Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $284 Week of August 10 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 00:22 | S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $775 on October 6? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 15:12 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 04:11 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $360 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4399998592 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 20:11 | Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 5? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 06:38 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 18:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 22:15 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 13:01 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $2.50 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 04:15 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:38 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:36 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:48 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 02:06 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 17:48 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5299999538 | $1.49 |