trader49
0x14b9909c89c3927155883562ee7beca130b3f378
- Realised P&L
- $-73.8k
- Volume
- $3.17M
- Markets traded
- 2,395
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,395
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.2kat 0.337Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?
- +$27.2kat 0.103Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
- +$19.3kat 0.407Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?
- +$13.4kat 0.210Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$11.7kat 0.220England vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 1.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-20 02:38 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.47 | $7.5k |
| 06-20 00:17 | Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.17 | $1.1k |
| 06-19 21:35 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.4k |
| 06-19 18:17 | United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.61 | $2.6k |
| 06-19 18:14 | United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.46 | $333.78 |
| 06-19 18:14 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.41 | $13.1k |
| 06-19 12:09 | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.58 | $527.22 |
| 06-18 22:57 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.4k |
| 06-18 21:34 | Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1.4k |
| 06-18 21:34 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.24 | $7.2k |
| 06-18 18:39 | Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.44 | $1.4k |
| 06-18 18:38 | Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.43 | $980.37 |
| 06-18 18:37 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.63 | $4.5k |
| 06-18 18:37 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.63 | $9.0k |
| 06-18 15:31 | Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.8k |