PolyBot

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Traders

trader49

0x14b9909c89c3927155883562ee7beca130b3f378

Realised P&L
$-73.8k
Volume
$3.17M
Markets traded
2,395
Open portfolio
$2.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,395
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration17.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0650.004$1.8k$24.4k
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.004$153.69$354.33
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET · Up0.5200.000$0.00$63.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET · Down0.3630.000$0.00$33.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00$4.50
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET · Up0.4210.000$0.00$18.16
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET · Up0.3760.000$0.00$14.09
Ethereum Up or Down - March 22, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up0.5390.000$0.00$53.08
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.4530.000$0.00$25.91
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down0.4710.000$0.00$75.66
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET · Down0.5210.000$0.00$1.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Down0.5070.000$0.00$45.40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET · Down0.2570.000$0.00$7.70
Ethereum Up or Down - March 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET · Up0.3420.000$0.00$6.99
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET · Down0.4990.000$0.00$194.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-20 02:38Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.47$7.5k
06-20 00:17Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 1.5BUY0.17$1.1k
06-19 21:35Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.43$3.4k
06-19 18:17United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 0.5BUY0.61$2.6k
06-19 18:14United States vs. Australia: United States O/U 1.5BUY0.46$333.78
06-19 18:14Will United States win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.41$13.1k
06-19 12:09Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.58$527.22
06-18 22:57Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.48$4.4k
06-18 21:34Canada vs. Qatar: Qatar O/U 0.5BUY0.54$1.4k
06-18 21:34Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.24$7.2k
06-18 18:39Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5BUY0.44$1.4k
06-18 18:38Switzerland vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5BUY0.43$980.37
06-18 18:37Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.63$4.5k
06-18 18:37Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.63$9.0k
06-18 15:31Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.21$1.8k