PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Friktes

0x14b2f9e5b0fa76d877e307aa82d296691d2dac16

Realised P&L
$257.22
Volume
$65.2k
Markets traded
752
Open portfolio
$11.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded752
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · Yes0.2100.035$4.60−$23.40
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.065$4.29−$22.11
Will Michael Echols be the Republican nominee for LA-05? · Yes0.3100.096$2.36−$5.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 13:40US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.38$26.60
06-11 10:22Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?SELL0.1604503416$3.05
06-11 10:20Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.338$1.69
06-02 09:38Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?SELL0.3043515173$16.85
06-02 09:15Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?SELL0.42$12.27
06-02 09:14Will Jordan Bardella announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?SELL0.2123972488$12.66
06-02 09:13Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?SELL0.988$23.97
06-02 09:13Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?SELL0.994$84.88
06-02 09:13Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?SELL0.994$9.42
05-22 08:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-22 06:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-21 23:59Solana Up or Down - May 21, 7:45PM-8:00PM ETBUY0.089999919$1.00
05-21 18:30Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-21 12:15Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
05-21 12:00Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7AM ETBUY0.01$1.00