PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x14b2abae9ade5f392bce0f63c67f6a980b1187f1

0x14b2abae9ade5f392bce0f63c67f6a980b1187f1

Realised P&L
$-1.34
Volume
$316.93
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$6.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · Yes0.7300.745$1.02+$0.02
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.5400.535$0.99−$0.01
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.4500.445$0.99−$0.01
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16? · Yes0.5200.505$0.97−$0.03
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? · Yes0.4600.445$0.97−$0.03
Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10? · Yes0.4200.405$0.96−$0.04
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-10-08? · Yes0.3100.055$0.18−$0.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 09:48Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-10-08?BUY0.3099999473$1.00
10-08 09:46Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5399999568$1.00
10-08 09:45Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-08 09:44Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.4199998908$1.00
10-08 09:43Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-08 09:40Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.4599997976$1.00
10-08 09:39Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
10-06 18:02Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-06 18:02Will Niger win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-06 18:01Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.219999978$1.00
10-06 18:00Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-04 14:32Will Austria win on 2026-10-04?BUY0.4899998383$1.00
10-03 04:16Will Cameroon win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
10-03 04:13Will Spain win on 2026-10-03?SELL0.91$1.01
10-03 04:12Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?BUY0.3899999337$1.00