0x14b2abae9ade5f392bce0f63c67f6a980b1187f1
0x14b2abae9ade5f392bce0f63c67f6a980b1187f1
- Realised P&L
- $-1.34
- Volume
- $316.93
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $6.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.745 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.535 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.445 | $0.99 | −$0.01 |
| Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.505 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.445 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.405 | $0.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-10-08? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.055 | $0.18 | −$0.82 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.47at 0.195Will Cameroon win on 2026-10-03?
- +$4.47at 0.195Will Chile win on 2026-10-05?
- +$1.49at 0.417Will Finland win on 2026-10-03?
- +$1.02at 0.512Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
- +$0.17at 0.860Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 09:48 | Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-10-08? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:46 | Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:45 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-10-16? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:44 | Will 1. FC Union Berlin win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:43 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:40 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 09:39 | Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:02 | Will Chile win on 2026-10-05? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:02 | Will Niger win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:01 | Will Venezuela win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.219999978 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 18:00 | Will Scotland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 14:32 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-04? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:16 | Will Cameroon win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 04:13 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-03? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.01 |
| 10-03 04:12 | Will Finland win on 2026-10-03? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |