PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SERJKMD

0x14ab47a21d548da5989a28dccb70b9133a512f6e

Realised P&L
$-71.31
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
249
Open portfolio
$40.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded249
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.9700.992$22.51+$0.50
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.4400.225$18.00$17.20
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0700.008$0.12$0.93
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$1.00
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · No0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$1.00
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$1.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? · No0.2700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July? · Yes0.2140.000$0.00$1.00
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in August? · No0.5600.000$0.00$1.00
Will the price of Ethereum be between $4,300 and $4,400 on September 17? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July? · Yes0.4590.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00$1.00
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
12-18 21:54Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.0491176471$0.35
12-18 21:53Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.91$3.38
12-18 21:53Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?SELL0.485800464$16.75
12-18 21:51Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.88$9.36
12-12 12:32Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?BUY0.9719999806$1.00
12-11 13:27Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
12-10 22:39No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.8$1.00
12-10 18:44Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?BUY0.9509996453$1.00
12-10 17:34Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.003$1.00
12-09 19:59GPT ads by December 31?BUY0.9479999924$1.00
12-09 19:59Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?BUY0.9539999828$1.00
12-09 19:58Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.91$1.00
12-08 23:12Tether insolvent in 2025?BUY0.993$1.00
12-08 23:11Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
12-08 23:11Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?BUY0.9639999884$1.00