0x14Aa6BB9Ab3775D5E0FEf700C21A373Cc174fecC-1769831335774
0x14aa6bb9ab3775d5e0fef700c21a373cc174fecc
- Realised P&L
- $1.57
- Volume
- $253.92
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $10.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration39.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $10.56 | −$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.62at 0.970Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.54at 0.975Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.13at 0.994Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 21?
- +$0.07at 0.997Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 02:13 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.60 |
| 09-20 02:48 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $12.10 |
| 08-24 05:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 25? | BUY | 0.9989999533 | $10.50 |
| 08-07 04:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C or below on August 8? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $11.10 |
| 07-28 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9989999824 | $21.60 |
| 07-11 02:31 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 06-30 04:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.60 |
| 06-22 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9969999997 | $6.60 |
| 05-26 02:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C or below on May 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.80 |
| 05-14 01:29 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 20°C or below on May 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.60 |
| 04-20 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 21? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $21.99 |
| 03-23 02:22 | Will "One Piece: Season 2" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.997 | $22.10 |
| 03-07 08:11 | Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9749999768 | $21.00 |
| 02-28 06:16 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.00 |
| 02-10 15:21 | Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.9699999995 | $20.00 |