0x149bcbfbdc772d60cdb252c1513405cef7c8d435
- Realised P&L
- $45.80
- Volume
- $179.7k
- Markets traded
- 467
- Open portfolio
- $142.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded467
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.88at 0.048US strikes Iraq by February 28?
- +$191.69at 0.180US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$172.53at 0.070Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?
- +$73.99at 0.256Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$52.91at 0.004Will Jorge Nieto win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 17:26 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.10 |
| 09-14 17:13 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.11 |
| 09-11 08:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.33 |
| 08-30 11:58 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.253 | $11.42 |
| 08-30 09:22 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.253 | $0.23 |
| 08-30 05:30 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.253 | $0.13 |
| 08-22 17:23 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.58 |
| 08-21 14:26 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $0.31 |
| 08-20 20:02 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.24 |
| 08-18 14:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.43 |
| 08-05 14:52 | Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.01 |
| 08-05 13:41 | Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.56 |
| 08-04 22:46 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |
| 08-04 22:46 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.05 |
| 08-04 19:49 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.07 |