AD1409
0x14944067f75014d36a7542820dd6f1e16acb8844
- Realised P&L
- $-16.69
- Volume
- $123.83
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $43.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration83.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.506 | 0.365 | $36.07 | −$13.93 |
| Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.290 | $7.25 | −$3.75 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 12:47 | Will François Ruffin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.44 | $11.00 |
| 05-20 12:46 | Will Dominique de Villepin be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.5058956268 | $50.00 |