0x08719b93FB0e76Cd741c0948aCfE9497Db22dc21-1767651073414
0x1490cba9334a36f2415c796ff3c1dcbd7bdcaccc
- Realised P&L
- $-5.18
- Volume
- $428.16
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $105.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration78.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.545 | 1.000 | $82.59 | +$37.59 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.715 | $14.30 | −$0.70 |
| Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · No | 0.077 | 0.061 | $7.93 | −$2.07 |
| Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.006 | $0.47 | −$4.53 |
| Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.001 | $0.04 | −$9.96 |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-5.18at 0.290Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 21:09 | Houthis capture Taiz city by October 31? | BUY | 0.0689999992 | $5.00 |
| 10-27 21:03 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $30.00 |
| 10-27 19:33 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 01:35 | Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? | BUY | 0.0769615192 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 01:32 | Ballon d'Or 2026: Ousmane Dembélé or Khvicha Kvaratskhelia to finish higher? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 01:30 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 10-26 01:25 | Will Religious Zionist Party–Zehut win less than 3.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.1245173738 | $10.00 |
| 10-26 01:23 | Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |