PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x148D189FBF8E3Df2cA45902800E36e0aeE81E7B6-1763693519013

0x148d189fbf8e3df2ca45902800e36e0aee81e7b6

Realised P&L
$-134.74
Volume
$16.5k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$5.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 14? · Yes0.2100.470$2.24+$1.24
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14? · Yes0.1040.175$1.69+$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14? · Yes0.1000.075$0.75−$0.25
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? · Yes0.1700.090$0.53−$0.47
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$1.70
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 9? · Yes0.3400.000$0.00−$3.74
Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ET · Up0.0340.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 02:29Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14?BUY0.1699999983$1.00
10-13 02:28Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14?BUY0.1$1.00
10-13 02:27Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14?BUY0.103773581$1.00
10-13 02:25Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 14?BUY0.2099999895$1.00
10-09 07:38Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 9?SELL0.9$4.50
10-08 23:13Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.16$1.60
10-08 14:30Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 9?BUY0.32$1.60
10-08 14:28Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9?BUY0.17$1.70
10-08 14:25Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 9?BUY0.34$3.74
03-16 03:50Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?SELL0.8359893503$397.99
03-15 06:16Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16?BUY0.959$665.03
03-13 07:18Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 13?SELL0.46$45.35
03-12 19:10Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 13?BUY0.61$59.27
03-12 14:16Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 12?SELL0.6469261206$98.25
03-11 22:50Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ETBUY0.0335148722$9.99