0x148D189FBF8E3Df2cA45902800E36e0aeE81E7B6-1763693519013
0x148d189fbf8e3df2ca45902800e36e0aee81e7b6
- Realised P&L
- $-134.74
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $5.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.470 | $2.24 | +$1.24 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.175 | $1.69 | +$0.69 |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.075 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.090 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 9? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.74 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ET · Up | 0.034 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.40at 0.971Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on March 5?
- +$15.17at 0.840Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on February 25?
- +$14.80at 0.850Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on February 25?
- +$12.47at 0.988Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 9?
- +$12.36at 0.890Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 02:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 02:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.103773581 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 9? | SELL | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 10-08 23:13 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.60 |
| 10-08 14:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 10-08 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-08 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 9? | BUY | 0.34 | $3.74 |
| 03-16 03:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16? | SELL | 0.8359893503 | $397.99 |
| 03-15 06:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 16? | BUY | 0.959 | $665.03 |
| 03-13 07:18 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 13? | SELL | 0.46 | $45.35 |
| 03-12 19:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 13? | BUY | 0.61 | $59.27 |
| 03-12 14:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on March 12? | SELL | 0.6469261206 | $98.25 |
| 03-11 22:50 | Ethereum Up or Down - March 11, 6PM ET | BUY | 0.0335148722 | $9.99 |