raptu
0x147864ed44e4ddf5159793fae8f21b16ab2715f8
- Realised P&L
- $12.25
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $138.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat? · No | 0.954 | 0.980 | $98.00 | +$2.60 |
| StandX FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No | 0.983 | 0.977 | $40.04 | −$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.76at 0.950Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June?
- +$0.97at 0.947Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.83at 0.966Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.51at 0.940Will Solana reach $300 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.37at 0.948Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-25 12:09 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.958 | $48.86 |
| 04-08 10:52 | Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.984 | $19.68 |