Fozzie
0x147690c0e21fb1e420812833a1809526d56c6e4a
- Realised P&L
- $-103.99
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $80.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.050 | $46.10 | −$55.06 |
| Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.325 | $34.21 | −$5.79 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.91at 0.558Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
- +$7.29at 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
- +$3.36at 0.598Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$1.95at 0.400Trump trade deal in April?
- +$1.41at 0.810Will Loren Taylor win the Oakland mayoral race?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 13:42 | Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.17 |
| 09-28 03:23 | Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 03:21 | Will Renan Santos win 8% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $100.00 |
| 04-13 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.0460575661 | $13.56 |
| 04-13 23:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.089809596 | $8.69 |
| 04-13 23:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $9.35 |
| 04-13 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on April 13? | SELL | 0.0018256908 | $0.80 |
| 04-13 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be 80°F or higher on April 13? | SELL | 0.003 | $1.15 |
| 04-13 22:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5399999903 | $9.34 |
| 04-13 22:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.0721494215 | $8.66 |
| 04-13 22:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $9.37 |
| 04-13 22:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $8.57 |
| 04-13 22:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $8.76 |
| 04-13 22:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $1.70 |
| 04-13 22:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $4.70 |