notmossad
0x1476574aacc087ab99632bcfdc4b44fc85e499b7
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $58.9k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $3.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.675 | $1.4k | −$50.00 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.248 | 0.043 | $1.1k | −$5.2k |
| Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? · Yes | 0.538 | 0.445 | $616.66 | −$129.52 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$755.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.0kat 0.851Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-11 20:34 | Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? | BUY | 0.4994939713 | $157.84 |
| 03-09 20:18 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.1511418 | $755.71 |
| 03-09 20:17 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $121.86 |
| 03-01 03:18 | Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.9023405543 | $500.00 |
| 03-01 03:06 | Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.9069321921 | $250.00 |
| 03-01 03:04 | Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.8693951087 | $250.00 |
| 03-01 03:00 | Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.8999796605 | $500.00 |
| 03-01 02:58 | Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam? | BUY | 0.8755802378 | $2.0k |
| 02-20 03:07 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2501718151 | $5.0k |
| 02-20 02:29 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.2399999999 | $1.3k |