PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

notmossad

0x1476574aacc087ab99632bcfdc4b44fc85e499b7

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$58.9k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026? · Yes0.7000.675$1.4k$50.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.2480.043$1.1k$5.2k
Will Jay Z release an album in 2026? · Yes0.5380.445$616.66$129.52
US forces enter Iran by March 31? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$1.4k
US forces enter Iran by March 14? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$755.71

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-11 20:34Will Jay Z release an album in 2026?BUY0.4994939713$157.84
03-09 20:18US forces enter Iran by March 14?BUY0.1511418$755.71
03-09 20:17US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.3$121.86
03-01 03:18Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.9023405543$500.00
03-01 03:06Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.9069321921$250.00
03-01 03:04Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.8693951087$250.00
03-01 03:00Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.8999796605$500.00
03-01 02:58Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?BUY0.8755802378$2.0k
02-20 03:07Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2501718151$5.0k
02-20 02:29Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.2399999999$1.3k