Frugal-Ratepayer-Ecliptic
0x1471497f46407561e2a607fdee7d30dca122b21c
- Realised P&L
- $10.68
- Volume
- $16.1k
- Markets traded
- 159
- Open portfolio
- $137.02
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded159
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet · Corentin Moutet | 0.388 | 1.000 | $82.38 | +$50.38 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.385 | $26.65 | −$0.35 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks · 76ers | 0.390 | 0.375 | $15.38 | −$0.62 |
| Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5 · Over | 0.450 | 0.405 | $12.60 | −$1.40 |
| European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron · Marcos Giron | 0.262 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.46 |
| Set 2 Winner: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet · Corentin Moutet | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$158.89at 0.205Florida vs. Texas
- +$107.52at 0.199Cardinals vs. Rams
- +$68.52at 0.434Lyon Open: Jaime Faria vs Felix Balshaw
- +$67.18at 0.189Auburn vs. Georgia
- +$59.35at 0.275China Open: Novak Djokovic vs Daniil Medvedev
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:13 | Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet | BUY | 0.2999999963 | $16.00 |
| 10-20 13:33 | Lyon Open: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet | BUY | 0.5499999862 | $16.00 |
| 10-20 13:23 | Set 2 Winner: Ugo Humbert vs Corentin Moutet | BUY | 0.4299999878 | $13.00 |
| 10-20 13:19 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BUY | 0.3899999957 | $27.00 |
| 10-20 12:30 | European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron | BUY | 0.1799999988 | $12.34 |
| 10-20 12:14 | European Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Marcos Giron | BUY | 0.2999999993 | $44.12 |
| 10-20 10:57 | Lyon Open: Pierre-Hugues Herbert vs Sebastian Baez | BUY | 0.2399999993 | $28.00 |
| 10-20 10:07 | Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 09:21 | Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 08:32 | Almaty Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Aleksandar Kovacevic | BUY | 0.2399999983 | $23.00 |
| 10-20 06:59 | Ningbo Open: Sara Bejlek vs Alycia Parks | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $15.00 |
| 10-19 21:47 | 76ers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.3899999907 | $16.00 |
| 10-19 21:46 | Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5 | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $14.00 |
| 10-19 21:45 | Commanders vs. 49ers | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 15:24 | Lyon Open: Matteo Arnaldi vs Lorenzo Musetti | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |