HatakeKakashi
0x146fda3540946f1da00c10b80eac9e9d955a9410
- Realised P&L
- $7.3k
- Volume
- $242.6k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $800.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? · Yes | 0.281 | 0.190 | $407.76 | −$194.76 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? · Yes | 0.555 | 0.595 | $307.91 | +$20.61 |
| Will Aston Villa win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.004 | $68.50 | −$157.20 |
| Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.002 | $16.24 | −$124.84 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on September 21? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$466.36 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 7 2026? · Yes | 0.382 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$55.80 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 19? · Yes | 0.111 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$966.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.116Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 19?
- +$2.3kat 0.178Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.358Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$320.20at 0.621Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next?
- +$236.98at 0.026Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:17 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.25 | $91.75 |
| 09-24 05:08 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.4511726882 | $2.0k |
| 09-23 14:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | SELL | 0.74 | $296.00 |
| 09-22 15:41 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.24 | $78.24 |
| 09-22 04:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 04:50 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $60.00 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $58.54 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.56 | $411.60 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.55 | $110.00 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in September? | BUY | 0.3 | $237.00 |
| 09-22 04:49 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in September? | BUY | 0.53 | $10.59 |
| 09-22 02:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $1.5k |
| 09-22 02:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-22 02:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $59.79 |