0x146D794E652b23A642126239B4D41C8592E18b70-1766398993688
0x146d794e652b23a642126239b4d41c8592e18b70
- Realised P&L
- $-146.24
- Volume
- $16.4k
- Markets traded
- 265
- Open portfolio
- $16.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded265
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.00at 0.076Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 19?
- +$26.95at 0.106Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?
- +$17.58at 0.590Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$17.07at 0.342Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
- +$13.40at 0.128Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-12 17:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.1326762674 | $5.00 |
| 09-12 17:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 17? | BUY | 0.08 | $5.00 |
| 09-11 17:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.0509615381 | $3.00 |
| 09-07 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $6.67 |
| 09-07 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 09-03 11:24 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $9.00 |
| 09-03 11:22 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $11.20 |
| 07-22 12:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999595 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 12:34 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.83 |
| 07-22 12:33 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | SELL | 0.3 | $2.14 |
| 07-22 12:32 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET | BUY | 0.699999972 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 12:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 12:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 12:05 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 11:14 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $8.26 |