RichardZorg
0x146807e375de6b41f442ccf7b9be4c33f05d0745
- Realised P&L
- $-701.86
- Volume
- $50.4k
- Markets traded
- 310
- Open portfolio
- $96.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded310
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$133.08at 0.578Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 11?
- +$118.82at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?
- +$90.40at 0.482Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?
- +$88.99at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?
- +$87.06at 0.785Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 09-25 16:44 | Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? | BUY | 0.9422532901 | $91.00 |
| 09-22 02:32 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $78.59 |
| 09-19 13:18 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.9660851449 | $76.50 |
| 09-17 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $76.20 |
| 09-17 03:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.9699999999 | $74.00 |
| 09-12 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 13? | SELL | 0.998 | $43.85 |
| 09-12 08:44 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 13? | BUY | 0.9595002602 | $96.00 |
| 09-09 22:42 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9? | SELL | 0.999 | $70.58 |
| 09-09 01:31 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 9? | BUY | 0.9199999994 | $65.00 |
| 09-08 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 8? | SELL | 0.995 | $65.37 |
| 09-07 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.9931575299 | $63.05 |
| 09-06 18:29 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.6598976055 | $41.89 |
| 09-06 18:28 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.3601347483 | $43.78 |
| 09-06 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.9624170573 | $117.00 |