RichardZorg
0x146807e375de6b41f442ccf7b9be4c33f05d0745
- Realised P&L
- $-478.76
- Volume
- $39.9k
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $142.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$136.95at 0.566Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 11?
- +$120.58at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 22?
- +$92.58at 0.470Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 22?
- +$89.27at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on July 31?
- +$89.17at 0.780Will England win on 2026-07-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.682715 | $40.96 |
| 08-04 17:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $11.40 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.11 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 08-04 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.54 | $22.91 |
| 08-03 17:20 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 08-03 17:12 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.1 | $4.79 |
| 08-03 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.145 | $7.25 |
| 08-03 06:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 08-03 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $14.50 |
| 08-03 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2089552111 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 05:56 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 08-03 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.59 | $35.40 |