lonnie51
0x145b656eaeb90bfbe5e87344478668cf6e4c710f
- Realised P&L
- $15.14
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $40.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes | 0.799 | 0.825 | $21.97 | +$0.69 |
| Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5) · Wyoming | 0.570 | 0.575 | $18.34 | +$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.42at 0.530Will 'Den of Thieves 2: Pantera' opening weekend gross less than $16m?
- +$24.05at 0.623Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?
- +$6.93at 0.750Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$4.00at 0.694Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?
- +$2.97at 0.820Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 03:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.6799999852 | $11.04 |
| 01-31 13:38 | Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $17.71 |
| 01-30 16:23 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.53 |
| 01-30 14:33 | Will XRP reach $2.80 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.04 |
| 01-30 14:05 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31? | BUY | 0.9979999829 | $52.67 |
| 12-30 11:26 | Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.62 |
| 12-30 10:18 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.65 |
| 12-30 08:25 | Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.75 |
| 12-29 23:12 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.15 |
| 12-29 19:25 | Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.67 |
| 10-30 20:13 | Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.81 |
| 10-30 18:28 | Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.19 |
| 09-29 16:21 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30? | BUY | 0.9989999172 | $10.15 |
| 09-29 13:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September? | BUY | 0.997 | $18.02 |
| 09-29 02:09 | Will XRP dip to $2.20 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.61 |