PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lonnie51

0x145b656eaeb90bfbe5e87344478668cf6e4c710f

Realised P&L
$15.14
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$40.31

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration57.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? · Yes0.7990.825$21.97+$0.69
Spread: Hawai'i (-3.5) · Wyoming0.5700.575$18.34+$0.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 03:09Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 16?BUY0.6799999852$11.04
01-31 13:38Will Tesla be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.998$17.71
01-30 16:23Will XRP dip to $1.00 in January?BUY0.999$6.53
01-30 14:33Will XRP reach $2.80 in January?BUY0.999$28.04
01-30 14:05Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?BUY0.9979999829$52.67
12-30 11:26Will Trump sell 1k-2.5k Gold Cards in 2025?BUY0.999$11.62
12-30 10:18Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.999$13.65
12-30 08:25Will Solana dip to $70 before 2026?BUY0.999$26.75
12-29 23:12Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?BUY0.999$20.15
12-29 19:25Will Trump pardon Antoine Massey in 2025?BUY0.999$29.67
10-30 20:13Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?BUY0.999$32.81
10-30 18:28Will Google have the second best AI model on October 31?BUY0.999$27.19
09-29 16:21Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?BUY0.9989999172$10.15
09-29 13:51Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September?BUY0.997$18.02
09-29 02:09Will XRP dip to $2.20 in September?BUY0.999$11.61