PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x14530372C791222B70D4eAE54984769FAc2e39A7-1774954809864

0x14530372c791222b70d4eae54984769fac2e39a7

Realised P&L
$-48.25
Volume
$16.0k
Markets traded
225
Open portfolio
$263.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded225
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.7670.766$199.78−$0.22
George Kittle: Anytime Touchdown · Yes0.4700.996$63.57+$33.57
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$17.00
Madrid Open: Casper Ruud vs Alexander Blockx · Casper Ruud0.1600.000$0.00−$22.40
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$0.85
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 1? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$0.65
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$30.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 1? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$0.17
MLB Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Brewers vs. Padres · Padres0.1590.000$0.00−$40.00
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$0.80
Spread: Lakers (-4.5) · Lakers0.4700.000$0.00−$14.10
Kendre Miller: Anytime Touchdown · Yes0.3590.000$0.00−$28.41
Juwan Johnson: Anytime Touchdown · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$20.00
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers · San Diego Padres0.3190.000$0.00−$60.00
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$0.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 21:33George Kittle: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.4699999944$30.00
10-18 15:54Christian Watson: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.4399999947$20.00
10-18 15:52Puka Nacua: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.599999994$20.00
10-18 15:50Darnell Washington: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.2$10.00
10-18 15:46Chuba Hubbard: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.5099999949$30.00
10-18 14:26Kendre Miller: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.3593675314$28.41
10-18 13:04Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?BUY0.3399999989$50.00
10-16 18:52Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.7673473682$200.00
10-16 00:14Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime TouchdownBUY0.4699999988$50.00
10-16 00:12Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles DodgersBUY0.3899999989$70.00
10-13 20:07Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.08$10.00
10-13 19:09Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?BUY0.1699999997$20.00
10-13 19:09Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.1$20.00
10-13 17:15Travis Bazzana: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.1008249304$10.00
10-13 17:15José Ramírez: Home Runs O/U 0.5BUY0.15$15.00