dsige
0x144ef510f09b1120d7a55f5123796718c0f04808
- Realised P&L
- $10.52
- Volume
- $405.00
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $19.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.195 | $19.50 | +$0.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.42at 0.925Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?
- +$4.11at 0.959Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September?
- +$1.67at 0.984Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 02:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November? | BUY | 0.19 | $19.00 |
| 10-26 05:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.983 | $98.30 |
| 10-26 05:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 09-23 11:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.956 | $95.60 |
| 09-23 11:15 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-09 06:27 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |