SadSquid54333
0x14494e6733e86a05888610dfabf3c98eeffea618
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $622.9k
- Markets traded
- 114
- Open portfolio
- $16.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded114
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Illinois (-37.5) · Illinois | 0.510 | 0.996 | $7.0k | +$3.4k |
| SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 56.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.730 | $3.0k | +$790.62 |
| Spread: Cincinnati (-15.5) · Cincinnati | 0.480 | 0.505 | $2.5k | +$125.00 |
| Spread: Nebraska (-26.5) · North Dakota | 0.480 | 0.470 | $1.9k | −$40.00 |
| Spread: West Virginia (-0.5) · Virginia | 0.760 | 0.785 | $1.7k | +$52.81 |
| Will Aldrich Potgieter win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$32.00 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 · Under | 0.397 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.88 |
| Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.67 |
| Will Corey Conners win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.25 |
| Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx · Seattle Storm | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.40 |
| Will Si Woo Kim win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.023 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$35.19 |
| Will Brooks Koepka win the 2026 PGA Championship? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$196.02 |
| Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware · Coastal Carolina | 0.556 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.6k |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5 · Under | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$305.25 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals · Baltimore Orioles | 0.169 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$675.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.532Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$1.4kat 0.676Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?
- +$1.1kat 0.047Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?
- +$965.55at 0.506Cabo Verde vs. Bermuda: O/U 4.5
- +$825.38at 0.587Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 16:40 | Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware | BUY | 0.59 | $590.00 |
| 09-19 15:51 | Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware | BUY | 0.5899999998 | $1000.00 |
| 09-19 15:45 | Coastal Carolina vs. Delaware | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $1000.00 |
| 09-19 05:50 | Spread: West Virginia (-0.5) | BUY | 0.76 | $1.6k |
| 09-19 04:15 | Spread: Illinois (-37.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $1.5k |
| 09-19 04:14 | Spread: Nebraska (-26.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $1.9k |
| 09-19 04:08 | Spread: Illinois (-37.5) | BUY | 0.51 | $2.0k |
| 09-18 19:12 | SMU vs. Louisville: O/U 56.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $2.2k |
| 09-18 19:11 | Spread: Cincinnati (-15.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $2.4k |
| 08-27 23:18 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.52 | $1.6k |
| 08-27 20:41 | Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals | BUY | 0.1689814925 | $675.92 |
| 08-16 20:11 | Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship? | BUY | 0.998 | $329.34 |
| 08-16 20:11 | Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship? | BUY | 0.998 | $798.40 |
| 08-16 20:11 | Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.0k |
| 08-14 19:58 | Will Scottie Scheffler lead the 2026 FedEx St. Jude Championship following the third round? | BUY | 0.5 | $250.00 |