PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x1448eE30B444c5AC4E4e7dc950B4935f66427D9A-1781870202403

0x1448ee30b444c5ac4e4e7dc950b4935f66427d9a

Realised P&L
$-9.45
Volume
$738.50
Markets traded
146
Open portfolio
$22.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded146
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9? · Yes0.6800.670$3.40−$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9? · Yes0.5800.655$3.33+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9? · Yes0.6600.645$3.27−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 8? · Yes0.4600.605$3.09+$0.74
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9? · Yes0.5200.505$2.57−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9? · Yes0.4700.455$2.32−$0.08
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 9? · Yes0.4500.375$1.92−$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? · Yes0.3400.270$1.39−$0.36
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8? · Yes0.3500.180$0.93−$0.87
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 8? · Yes0.4500.001$0.00−$2.30
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8? · Yes0.5000.001$0.00−$2.55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 96-97°F on October 4? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00−$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 1? · No0.4300.000$0.00−$2.15
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 27? · No0.4200.000$0.00−$2.10
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 4? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$2.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 9?BUY0.4499999217$2.30
10-08 16:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on October 9?BUY0.6599999448$3.35
10-08 16:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 9?BUY0.6799999921$3.45
10-08 15:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 9?BUY0.5199999843$2.65
10-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9?BUY0.3399999883$1.75
10-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 9?BUY0.5799999882$2.95
10-08 04:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 9?BUY0.469999998$2.40
10-07 16:00Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 8?BUY0.4502127353$2.30
10-07 16:00Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on October 8?BUY0.4599999687$2.35
10-07 16:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on October 8?BUY0.3502702627$1.80
10-07 15:00Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8?BUY0.5$2.55
10-07 04:00Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 8?BUY0.6601470413$3.35
10-07 04:00Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?BUY0.469999998$2.40
10-07 04:00Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 8?BUY0.469999998$2.40
10-06 16:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on October 7?BUY0.3202940649$1.65