persival
0x144384f30d162e6ffe4d5ad6b9444ae7c6321229
- Realised P&L
- $-79.85
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $126.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.64at 0.101Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026?
- +$84.45at 0.359StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
- +$84.13at 0.201Will LAPTOP flip TRUMP by June 30, 2027?
- +$18.47at 0.525Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?
- +$13.19at 0.600Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 09:41 | Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |
| 10-14 16:51 | Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.525 | $64.45 |
| 10-14 16:37 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.2 | $36.75 |
| 10-14 16:36 | Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.0955426279 | $4.76 |
| 09-17 04:57 | Will Zcash reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $15.18 |
| 09-16 19:31 | Will Zcash reach $1400 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1277037665 | $42.18 |
| 09-15 19:07 | Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.69 |
| 09-15 18:58 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $75 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.50 |
| 09-15 09:42 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? | SELL | 0.265 | $14.77 |
| 09-15 06:28 | Will StripChain launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $13.20 |
| 09-14 16:20 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.06 before 2027? | SELL | 0.39 | $29.25 |
| 09-12 08:11 | Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027? | SELL | 0.2987814785 | $29.42 |
| 09-12 08:10 | Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027? | SELL | 0.14 | $3.74 |
| 09-11 08:09 | Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.520015361 | $33.85 |
| 09-11 07:58 | Will Hyperliquid reach $120 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $11.80 |