Molle-747
0x144080f729e44359043d63e961ac44925bb52eb0
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $92.5k
- Markets traded
- 274
- Open portfolio
- $318.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded274
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.04at 0.335Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
- +$220.84at 0.387Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$144.08at 0.407Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
- +$141.86at 0.501Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8AM ET
- +$126.85at 0.527Ethereum Up or Down - April 25, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 08-04 14:17 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.544751087 | $25.06 |
| 08-03 22:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $13.26 |
| 07-30 18:20 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $25.76 |
| 07-29 18:49 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.38 | $25.46 |
| 07-28 14:03 | Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9074722222 | $32.67 |
| 07-25 21:47 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.751 | $9.19 |
| 07-25 21:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.78 | $24.96 |
| 07-21 15:11 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $24.75 |
| 07-21 10:18 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.902 | $7.91 |
| 07-20 18:46 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.9258911111 | $25.00 |
| 07-20 14:29 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $9.30 |
| 07-16 06:17 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $28.62 |
| 07-15 23:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.79 | $33.18 |
| 07-14 15:51 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.04 | $17.84 |