Potocurrypredictor
0x14402e26615c40d114ac21b5260b5ae1d71934f4
- Realised P&L
- $994.78
- Volume
- $86.5k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $138.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.143 | 0.170 | $132.60 | +$20.60 |
| Will Trump nationalize elections? · Yes | 0.104 | 0.060 | $5.76 | −$4.24 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? · Yes | 0.045 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.057Will Dogecoin dip to $0.10 in January?
- +$738.28at 0.044Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on February 5?
- +$189.80at 0.050Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1PM ET
- +$113.40at 0.242Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?
- +$56.48at 0.258Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-23 19:02 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 19:01 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 19:01 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1499999997 | $22.00 |
| 10-16 09:08 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.22 | $13.75 |
| 10-06 15:02 | Will Trump nationalize elections? | BUY | 0.1041666667 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 15:01 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 14:58 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:00 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0369999965 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:58 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:57 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0448207174 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:57 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0599999946 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:56 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.037999999 | $35.00 |
| 07-19 16:56 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0299999971 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:55 | Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.032 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 16:55 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |